by
Glenn P. Hastedt and Anthony J. Eksterowicz
The first months of a new presidency are a unique time in American politics.
It is a period of great presidential activism, with appointments and
policy initiatives announced on almost a daily basis. It is a "honeymoon"
period, when the president's relationships with Congress and the media
are at least cordial if not deferential. It is a period when campaign
promises come due and domestic politics are on everyone's mind. It can
also be a period of great frustration as newly elected presidents struggle
with recalcitrant staffs and large, unfamiliar bureaucracies.
It is also a period in which foreign policy challenges and opportunities
may arise that demand a presidential response. The extent to which a
successful response is crafted heavily depends upon the planning and
learning that takes place in advance, during the transition from one
administration to another. This period, from the first Tuesday in November
until January 20, lasts precisely eleven weeks.
The 2000 presidential election represents a unique challenge for transition
efforts. Due to the uncertainty of the electoral vote, open transition
efforts were highly criticized. For example, George W. Bush sought to
create an image of leadership by openly discussing his possible Cabinet
choices in the days immediately following the undecided election--discussions
criticized by the media as premature.1 What such criticism did not recognize,
however, is that transition efforts in modern presidential campaigns
begin well before Election Day.
The concern over presidential transitions is relatively new, and their
consequences for the conduct of American foreign policy have gone largely
unexamined. Far more attention is given to the impact of presidential
personality, bureaucratic politics, and small-group decision-making
procedures. To address this void in the literature, we examine the problems
and pitfalls associated with modern presidential transitions as they
specifically apply to the making of foreign policy. We argue that a
three-part transition syndrome exists in the area of foreign policy
that has serious consequences for the conduct of American diplomacy.
We conclude by presenting lessons aimed at alleviating the problems
encountered by modern presidential administrations in transition.